Monday, May 19, 2008

Monty Hall

Another book I would recommend would be "The curious incident of the dog in the night time". Small and easy reading, this book won several awards when it was first published in 2003.

Told in a first person perspective - the story is narrated by a 15 year old autistic boy who starts off telling the story of his life by starting with the night when he found his neighbour's pet poodle dead in the yard.

An interesting section in this book is when the "Monty Hall problem" was explained. The puzzle that was brought up went something like this ;

Suppose you're on a game show, and you're given the choice of three doors: Behind one door is a car; behind the others, goats. You pick a door, say No. 1, and the host, who knows what's behind the doors, opens another door, say No. 3, which has a goat. He then says to you, "Do you want to pick door No. 2?" Is it to your advantage to switch your choice?

Most people would say that the chances are still 50-50 and most would not opt to switch doors. However, according to Marilyn vos Savant (woman with the world's highest IQ) she states that given the situation, you should always change your answer, as it will give you a higher chance of winning the car.

Hard to believe? Go read the book :)

ps - Mitch Albom's "for one more day" , there's actually a movie for it! unbelievable and here i was thinking when they would direct a movie based on it.

i doubt it would be good. :(

1 comment:

Mohd Nadzri Kamsin said...

“Inflation ?? Women & Micro Economy, The Dinar & Dirham Solution”

Penceramah: Umar Vadillo (Cendikiawan Islam Sepanyol)

Tempat: Masjid Saidina Umar Al-Khattab, Bukit Damansara Kuala Lumpur.

Tarikh: 6 Julai 2008 (Ahad)

Waktu: 5 petang.

Semua dijemput hadir....